The curtain has fallen on the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with Trump being elected successfully. This outcome will undoubtedly have numerous far-reaching implications for the world.
In terms of politics, the international influence of the United States may change. The "New Right" ideology represented by Trump opposes globalization, multilateralism, and "liberal internationalism." Guided by such ideas, the United States may revert to an "isolationist" path. In the past, Trump held a contemptuous and dismissive attitude towards international institutions such as the United Nations, NATO, the World Trade Organization, and the World Health Organization. It is expected that his stance towards these institutions will not improve in the future. This will lead to a further collapse of the "liberal international order" created by the United States, and the authority and influence of international organizations may also be challenged. For America's allies, this is a huge shock. European, Japanese, and South Korean countries, which have long relied on U.S. security guarantees, may lose confidence in the United States and subsequently reevaluate their relationships with the United States, promoting the building of their own defense forces and adjustments to their foreign policies.
Regarding regional security, Trump's election may bring new uncertainties to some regional conflicts. In the case of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Trump has stated that he hopes to end the conflict as soon as possible, and may even aim to achieve a "ceasefire" by having Ukraine abandon its efforts to regain the lost territories. He may also attempt to improve relations with Russia in order to weaken the Russia-China cooperation, which will have a significant impact on the geopolitical landscape in Europe. European countries may become more worried about the expansion of Russia's influence in the European region and thus strengthen their precautions against Russia. In the context of the Israel-Palestine conflict, Trump has always been partial to Israel. However, with Israel's actions in the Gaza Strip drawing international condemnation, it remains uncertain whether Trump will continue to firmly support Israel. This may lead to challenges to the United States' influence and say in the Middle East, and also make the situation in the Middle East more complex and unstable.
The impact in the economic field cannot be underestimated. Trump is a staunch anti-globalization politician. After taking office, he may impose or increase tariffs on other countries that have a trade surplus with the United States. China is likely to be the main target. He may also revoke the "Most Favored Nation" status of some countries and promote the purchase of American goods and heavily subsidize domestic enterprises within the United States. Although these measures may protect some industries and jobs in the United States in the short term, in the long run, they will disrupt the stability of the global industrial and supply chains, intensify trade protectionism, trigger countermeasures from other countries, and lead to a slowdown in global economic growth. For developing countries, the rise of trade protectionism will increase the difficulty for them to participate in the global economy and impede their economic development.
In the field of technology, the Trump administration may continue to strengthen its technological containment of China. During his previous term, the United States imposed a series of sanctions on Chinese technology enterprises, restricting China's development in high-tech fields such as artificial intelligence. In the future, this trend may continue to intensify, and the technological competition between China and the United States will become even more fierce. This will not only affect the technological development of both China and the United States but also have an impact on the layout of the global technology industry chain. Some countries may be forced to take sides between China and the United States, further exacerbating the division in the global technology field.
On global issues such as climate change, Trump was once a climate change skeptic and withdrew the United States from the Paris Climate Agreement. His re-election may lead to a regression in U.S. policies regarding climate change and a reduction in its participation in relevant international cooperation. This will pose a huge challenge to the global efforts to address climate change and affect the progress of international cooperation in areas such as emissions reduction and the development of renewable energy.
However, the impact of the aftermath of the U.S. presidential election is not entirely negative. For some countries, the "isolationist" tendency of the United States may provide them with more development space and opportunities. For example, China has already achieved good results in initiatives such as the Belt and Road Initiative and the BRICS cooperation mechanism. With the United States increasingly taking an "isolationist" path, more Western countries may seek to improve relations with China for their own interests and security, which will contribute to promoting multilateral cooperation and the reform of the global governance system.
In conclusion, the result of the U.S. presidential election will have multiple impacts on the world. All countries need to closely monitor the policy direction of the United States, actively respond to possible challenges, and at the same time seize opportunities to promote their own development and the improvement of global governance.
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