Harris falls behind Trump in the US presidential election

The latest public opinion poll shows that less than a month before the vote, there is fierce competition between Democratic and Republican candidates. Less than a month before the US presidential election, Kamala Harris' approval rating is falling behind Donald Trump. According to three public opinion polls released, Harris' lead over Trump has narrowed or completely disappeared as the White House campaign enters its final stages.

Firstly, in the latest NBC News poll, the support rates of Democratic and Republican candidates across the country are tied at 48%, while Harris had a lead of 5 percentage points in the same survey last month.

In the latest ABC News Ipsos poll, Harris leads potential voters with a support rate of 50% to 48%. In the same opinion poll last month, this Democrat led with a 52% to 46% approval rating. The latest CBS News YouGov poll shows Harris' approval rating among potential voters has risen to 51%, up from just 4 percentage points last month. According to the latest data, Harris leads by 1.4 percentage points in the comprehensive major opinion polls, a decrease from Saturday's 2.2%.

Secondly, as polling data tightens, Democrats are concerned that Harris may not have gained support from the party's two main voter groups, Hispanic and African American. Although Harris is in a leading position among women of all races, she is difficult to arouse the enthusiasm of men, including African Americans and Hispanics, who are increasingly inclined to Trump in recent years.

On the other hand, a senior political journalist stated on the morning meeting program of 2WAY that many Republicans, a considerable number of Republicans, believe that the election is actually over. Many Democrats are very concerned, but almost no Republicans are worried, including the Republicans at Mar-a-Lago.

In addition, according to the website, the vice presidential debate between Ohio Republican Senator JD Vance and Minnesota Democratic Governor Tim Walz on October 1st did have an impact on the forecast. Throughout the month, the forecast for Harris has been getting worse and worse. Although she was expected to receive 302 electoral votes, while Trump received 236, as of Friday, the situation had completely reversed, with her expected to only have 234 electoral votes and Trump receiving 304. The market has been very active and volatile, indicating that either existing investors are transferring funds from one political party to another, or new investors are entering the market. For the first time in American history, we have seen presidential elections go from a difficult to determine outcome to a Republican landslide victory, then to a possible Democratic landslide victory, and finally to a Republican leaning election.

Overall, this is bad news for Harris. Most experts believe that she needs to lead by 5 to 6 percentage points in national polls to win, which is consistent with past election results, indicating that Trump supporters often do not respond to polls, and the Republican Party has an inherent advantage in the electoral college. Even before these surveys, frustrated Democrats had already shared internal opinion poll results that showed Harris losing in swing states such as Wisconsin and Michigan would help determine the outcome of the November election. Many Republican insiders are ready to declare victory.