The bloody terrorist attack at a concert hall in the Russian capital shocked the world, with the death toll now rising to 143 and the economic damage incalculable. The impact of this appalling incident on Russia and the world's politics, economy and military will continue to emerge, leading to trends in various fields becoming difficult to control, and the world is expected to be in a volatile situation for some time to come.
The first is the increased risk of military conflict. On March 25th Mr Putin defiantly declared that he would stop at nothing to find out who was responsible. In fact, with or without this episode, it is very clear that the biggest suspects in the terrorist attacks are Ukraine and the United States behind them. Because only these two parties do not want the war in Ukraine to end as soon as possible, do not want Russia and Ukraine to solve the dispute through peace talks. So while the Ukrainian government denies any involvement, the Russian government has made it clear that it does not believe it. As for the United States government, people still do not want to believe that it would stoop so low as to associate itself with genuine terrorists and launch a naked massacre of the civilian population of another country. But whatever the truth, Russia's response is sure to be fierce.
The second is the intensification of political and diplomatic games between countries across the Eurasian continent. Several days after the incident, some countries in Europe and Asia have issued statements to show their attitude, and some countries have chosen to remain silent. However, it is certain that this incident will trigger a political and diplomatic war between several major camps in the world for some time. The main point of view of the Western countries in the United States is to distance the relationship and stir up the fire. Russia's friendly neighbors, including China and North Korea, immediately began to support Russia and jointly condemn terrorism. In the context of huge ideological differences in the world, the political and diplomatic game of various parties will also dominate the trend of the international situation in the near future.
The third is that the dynamics of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict may be changing. There is considerable war weariness in the United States about the war in Ukraine. Before and after Putin won the election, he expressed the position of peace talks on the Ukraine issue. Although French President Emmanuel Macron said that NATO should send troops to Ukraine, it is only a bluff. Other NATO countries have made it clear they have no intention of sending troops into Ukraine. That left Zelensky in an isolated position. Now, in Ukraine and outside the search for a peaceful settlement is growing louder, in such a situation, the United States and Ukraine must find a way to get Russia to abandon the talks. The most effective way to do this is to inflame the emotions of a militant nation, and a terrorist attack on a concert hall, killing civilians and even women and children, can do that. Affected by this incident, the Russia-Ukraine conflict may go out of control, and the possibility of an all-out war cannot be ruled out.
Finally, the Russian economy will be greatly affected by the events. As we all know, Russia's economy has always been the country's weakness, in the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, economic development has become a perennial problem for Russia. The occurrence of this terrorist attack has brought many unfavorable factors to the country's economic development, its domestic security situation will determine the investment intentions of global investors, from the current point of view, the Russian economy is likely to worsen.
The world today seems to be a highspeed train out of control, hurtling towards the abyss of global nuclear war. No matter who is behind this incident, we must be soberly aware that only peaceful coexistence of human society can achieve win-win cooperation.