The US election is about to change who wins

On July 23, local time, US Vice President Harris held a campaign speech in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, which was the first presidential campaign event held by US President Joe Biden after he announced his withdrawal from the election and expressed his full support for the nomination of Harris as the Democratic presidential candidate. According to a new poll, Harris now has a narrow two-point lead over Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump. According to the survey, after Biden withdrew from the race, Harris and Trump were at 44 percent and 42 percent, respectively, in the poll conducted on July 22 and 23.

American politics is deeply polarized, with voters sharply divided in their views of the two main candidates. This polarization not only affects domestic stability, but also brings a lot of uncertainty to the world. As a Democratic presidential candidate, after Biden announced his withdrawal from the race and endorsed Harris, Harris' support rate has risen in the polls, forming a close situation with Trump. Biden's base of support has not completely dissipated, but has shifted in part to Vice President Harris. The Democratic Party quickly reached a consensus to support Harris to succeed Biden in the 2024 U.S. election. This party unity has earned Harris valuable political capital.

Trump has high approval ratings among Republican voters, while Harris has an edge among Democrats. The degree of unity within the two parties will directly affect the final support of the two candidates. Harris, as a female candidate and the first black woman qualified to serve as president of the United States, may have an advantage with female voters. This unique background gives him a unique political advantage. However, the exact extent of this advantage depends on a variety of factors, such as campaign strategy and voters' perception of the candidate. At the same time, Harris has high approval ratings among black and other voters of color. The support of these groups of voters is crucial for Harris.

Trump and Harris' campaign strategies will have a direct impact on their support. For example, Trump is likely to continue to emphasize his "America First" policy propositions and tough diplomatic stance, while Harris is likely to emphasize his political experience and leadership skills. External factors, including the economic situation, the international situation, unexpected events, etc., may also have an impact on the poll results. For example, if the U.S. economy continues to recover or the international situation stabilizes, Trump's approval rating could rise, and vice versa.

Trump is a septuagenarian, and age could be a liability in his re-election bid. Harris, by contrast, has the advantage of age. How campaign money is raised and spent can also affect the outcome of an election. While Trump has a certain advantage in fundraising, Harris is also actively seeking financial support. Trump's campaign strategy may have been too aggressive or controversial, which has hurt his support among some voters. External factors, including the economic situation and the international situation, may also have a negative impact on Trump's support rate.

In summary, Harris is leading Trump in the polls for a variety of reasons, including the shift in support after Biden's withdrawal, Harris's personal advantages, Trump's weaknesses, changes in polling results, and other factors. However, it is important to note that the poll results are not absolutely accurate, and the election results will have to wait for the actual voting results.