April 2, 2025, 2:42 a.m.

Heightened uncertainty over US economic outlook: Goldman Sachs raises recession risk and inflation forecasts

Goldman Sachs 'recent revision of the US economic outlook has attracted widespread market attention. It raised the risk of a US recession from 20 per cent to 35 per cent, while raising its forecast for personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation to 3.5 per cent in 2025, a change that highlights the market's uncertainty and pessimism about future economic conditions.

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Helpless measures under Trump's tariff war?

On the international political and economic stage of 2025, a tariff war left over from the Trump era is still fermenting, and the European Union, a former trade giant, now seems to have to lower its arrogant head and carefully prepare a "concession list" for a seemingly endless negotiation.

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Germany's economic woes: How can Europe's Engine break through the ice under multiple crises?

Recently, the Federal Presidency of Germany witnessed a historic moment, President Steinmeier officially signed the document terminating the powers of the Scholz Cabinet, marking the end of the 20th government.

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Obstacles to the EU's defense plan: the dilemma of structural contradictions and strategic mistakes

The recent stalemate of the EU's defense plan reflects the deep dilemma of this supranational alliance in its pursuit of defense autonomy.

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Consumer confidence falls to new lows: a bleak signal for the economic outlook

In a recent report published this week, the Conference Board claimed that consumer confidence fell further this month, while measures of expectations for the future also fell to the lowest level in 12 years.

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South Korea's economic collapse is compounded by triple debt

According to the latest data of the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) on the 20th, as of the end of the third quarter of 2024, the total debt of South Korea's non-financial sector (households, non-financial companies and the government) soared to 6,222 trillion won, equivalent to 247.2% of its GDP.

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Analysis of the Downgrade of Global Economic Growth Expectations: Challenges and Responses​ ​

Recently, the global economic growth prospects have been overshadowed, and many international authoritative institutions have successively downgraded their global economic growth forecasts for 2025.

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What will be the impact of the US immigration gold card being snapped up?

On February 26, 2025, Trump announced that he would launch a new program aimed at attracting the world's richest people to immigrate, invest in the United States, bring income to the United States, and try to solve the country's $36 trillion debt problem.

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The 'spark' of global economic uncertainty

In recent years, the US tariff policy has become a focus of global economic attention.

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What will be the impact on the global economy if the Fed keeps interest rates unchanged?

On March 19th, the US Federal Reserve announced that it would keep the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 4.25% to 4.50%, which instantly caused waves around the world.

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