Sept. 21, 2024, 1:46 a.m.

USA

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Looking at the election situation of the two parties in the United States from the latest polls

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Recently, the latest opinion poll results jointly released by The New York Times and Siena College have attracted widespread attention. In this survey conducted from August 5th to August 9th, covering 1973 registered voters, US Vice President and Democratic presidential candidate Harris led former US President and Republican presidential candidate Trump by four percentage points in three key swing states: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. Harris received a 50% approval rating, while Trump's approval rating was 46%.

The poll also shows that American voters prefer Trump on economic and immigration issues, while Harris is more trusted on democracy and abortion rights issues.

This result undoubtedly adds more uncertainty and drama to the upcoming US presidential election. For the Democratic Party, Harris' leading position in key swing states is undoubtedly a shot in the arm. Swing states have played a crucial role in previous elections, and the attitudes of their voters often have decisive significance. Harris' lead reflects to some extent the initial effectiveness of the Democratic Party's campaign strategy in these areas. Perhaps the Democratic Party's recent proposals in economic and social policies are more in line with the needs of voters in these areas, or perhaps its campaign team has done better in propaganda and campaigning.

However, for both the Republican Party and Trump, this result is undoubtedly a warning. Although the gap is only four percentage points, any slight difference on the fiercely competitive election stage can lead to a final winner or loser. Trump needs to re-examine his campaign strategy, gain a deeper understanding of voters' concerns and demands, identify the reasons for falling behind in these key states, and make timely adjustments. At the same time, the Republican Party also needs to unite and provide stronger support and resources for Trump.

From the perspective of voters, the results of this poll reflect their complex mentality towards the current political situation in the United States. Voters have their own expectations and concerns regarding issues such as economic recovery, social equity, healthcare security, and environmental protection. Harris' lead may mean that some voters have more confidence in the solutions proposed by the Democratic Party, believing that they can better address the various challenges currently facing the United States. On the other hand, Trump still has a 46% approval rating, indicating that a significant portion of voters still identify with his political beliefs and policy proposals.

It is worth noting that the poll results are only a temporary reflection and cannot fully represent the final election results. Before the election, candidates from both parties still have ample time and opportunity to win the support of voters. Moreover, over time, various domestic and international political and economic events may have an impact on voters' attitudes. In addition, polls themselves also have certain limitations, such as the representativeness of the sample and the setting of questions, which may lead to certain biases in the results.

For American society, regardless of who ultimately wins the election, it is necessary to seriously face and solve a series of current problems. The sustained development of the economy, the harmony and stability of society, and the consolidation and improvement of international status all require the new government to come up with practical and feasible policies and measures. And voters should also fully weigh the abilities and commitments of candidates from both parties when making choices, in order to select leaders who can truly lead America towards the future.

Harris' campaign proposals mainly include: raising the upper limit of "zero dollar purchases" from $950 to $1500; Children are free to undergo gender reassignment without parental consent; Providing special certification to the LGBT community, allowing them to participate in women's events such as the Olympics and World Championships, is indeed too worrying.

In short, the results of this poll have revealed the latest developments in the US election, but the final outcome remains uncertain. In the coming months, candidates from both parties will engage in even more intense competition, and voters will cast their sacred votes after careful consideration. Let's wait and see how this thrilling election battle will be portrayed on the American political stage.

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