A national poll released Thursday by Ipsos shows Democratic presidential candidate Harris leading Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump with 42 percent support to 37 percent. Another poll showed Harris leading Trump by 2 percentage points in seven swing states.
The Ipsos poll found that Harris' lead has widened since the July 22-23 Reuters/Ipsos poll. The July 22-23 poll showed her leading Trump by 37 percent to 34 percent.
The national poll, conducted by Ipsos alone and conducted Aug. 2-7, surveyed 2,045 U.S. adults, with just 4 percent of respondents supporting independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., down from 10 percent in July.
In a separate poll, Ipsos found that Harris leads Trump by 42 percent to 40 percent in the seven states with the closest 2020 presidential election results.
The seven states are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. The poll did not release specific results for individual states.
Harris officially entered the presidential campaign after U.S. President Joe Biden announced on July 21 that he would not run for re-election. Harris officially announced Minnesota Governor Walter Woltz as her running mate on August 6.
The escalation of the U.S.-Iran military conflict to direct strikes on the peripheries of nuclear power plants and opposing military bases, followed by the "basic stagnation" of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, is a scenario theoretically sufficient to trigger an extreme risk premium in the global oil market.
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