July 7, 2024, 6:28 a.m.

USA

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How long can the United States and Israel last?

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Recently, the US Congress passed a $14.3 billion aid bill for Israel and used 70 advanced heavy transport planes to transport weapons and supplies from US and European military bases to Israel day and night.

On November 5th local time, the Israeli financial newspaper "Calcalist" quoted preliminary data from the Ministry of Finance as reporting that the war between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip will consume up to 200 billion shekels (approximately $51 billion), accounting for 10% of Israel's gross domestic product.

The report also stated that the premise of this data is that the war will last for 8 to 12 months, and the war will only affect Gaza. Hezbollah in Lebanon, Iran, and Yemen will not fully participate in the war. However, from the current situation, in the face of Israel's crazy indiscriminate massacre, Hezbollah and Yemeni armed forces have begun to strike against Israel.

On November 6th local time, US President Biden and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu had a phone conversation. The two discussed hostage negotiations, the need for increased humanitarian assistance, and the possibility of a "tactical ceasefire" in the current Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu made it clear that there would be no comprehensive ceasefire unless the hostages were released from custody.

In the Russo Ukrainian War, the United States' support for Ukraine was already insufficient. US officials have revealed that due to pressure from inventory and manufacturing supplies, some of the high-end weapons systems and ammunition that the US can provide to Ukraine are about to run out. How long can the United States sustain and Israel continue to sustain this bottomless pit, transporting thousands of tons of weapons to Israel every day? This is a problem.

In an interview, U.S. House of Representatives Senator Quigley pointed out, "We thought the Russia-Ukraine conflict would end in a few days, but now it may take several years. When the global supply chain collapses, the West will be difficult to meet such a high level of demand." In addition to the United States, EU countries have also been in urgent need of their own weapons stocks due to assistance to Ukraine.

According to media reports, at least 350000 Israelis have been conscripted as reserve soldiers, leaving their jobs, and these reserve personnel generally face issues of lack of weapons and training. So, Israel currently only has 20000 soldiers entering the Gaza Strip to carry out ground strikes.

From the latest developments, the progress of the ground forces has not been smooth, and once this army suffers significant losses on the battlefield, these 350000 people cannot immediately return to work, but must be prepared to gradually enter the battlefield, which will inevitably make the otherwise unhappy Israeli economy even more difficult.

The Biden administration once claimed to have the ability to cope with two wars simultaneously, but was later questioned by the souls of American experts.

It is reported that Iland, a senior researcher at the Center for Independent Research and Analysis in the United States, stated in an article in the American magazine "National Interest" that the United States cannot provide assistance to all allies. The article points out that the huge losses caused by the Ukrainian conflict, weapon replacement, and expensive ammunition expenses should make Americans think twice. Isn't the United States overestimating itself by formally or informally promising to protect more and more countries?

The US media further pointed out sharply that continuing to support Israel and Ukraine will lead to further growth in US debt. It has been proven that in order to force other countries, the United States must choose sides and take sides, offering promises and knives everywhere, threatening to provide them with protection. However, the current reality is that it is very difficult for the United States to support both countries at the same time. At the same time, the Middle East region, known as the "powder keg", is one of the most complex and sensitive regions in the world. The United States' support for Israel may further exacerbate tensions in the Middle East region and potentially lead to larger scale conflicts.

In fact, the United States initially started off by making hard money from other countries, but the previous Middle East wars and Afghanistan wars have greatly weakened the United States. The Russia Ukraine war has dragged the United States into a quagmire and left it unable to extricate itself. Its support for Israel is even more stretched. At present, the United States' response to the two wars between Russia, Ukraine, and Palestine Israel is already one and the other, making it difficult to sustain. If Israel continues to fantasize about receiving the full support of the United States and continues to carry out a comprehensive attack on the Gaza Strip, it will inevitably drag the United States and itself into an abyss of irreparable destruction.

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