Nov. 21, 2024, 2:08 a.m.

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Google antitrust ruling could put $20 billion at risk for Apple

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Earlier this year, U.S. federal Judge Amit Mehta ruled that Google constituted an illegal monopoly in the search engine space. The ruling was a defeat for Google and sparked widespread scrutiny of its business practices and future developments. The Justice Department is expected to unveil punitive measures against Google this week. According to the Wall Street Journal, the Justice Department plans to ask the court for a number of remedial actions, one of which would prohibit Google from paying its partners, such as Apple, huge annual fees to ensure that its search engine is available as a default option on devices. The decision could force Google to break up and profoundly affect its longstanding relationship with Apple.

First, the deal between Google and Apple came into focus. The partnership between Google and Apple is one of the central disputes in the antitrust case. Every year, Google pays Apple at least $20 billion to make sure its search engine is the default option on devices like the iPhone. This massive spending not only helped Google solidify its dominance in search, but also became an important source of revenue for Apple's services. However, the Justice Department's intervention could put an end to that long-standing agreement. If the judge rules against such payments, the billions of dollars in revenue Apple earns each year through the deal could disappear.

Second, the potential impact and Apple's choice of response. If the agreement is forced to end, Apple will face a number of options. For example, Apple could turn to other search engine providers, such as Microsoft's Bing, or develop its own search product. Microsoft or another vendor could fill the gap, paying Apple a similar fee for a default spot on Apple's devices. At the same time, Apple is actively exploring opportunities in artificial intelligence. Analysts believe that the ruling may push Apple to accelerate the deployment of AI search services.

Then there are the broader implications of the antitrust case. A Google loss in the antitrust case would not only have an economic impact on Apple, but could also have profound implications for the rules and landscape of the entire tech industry. The case sheds light on the tangled interests of big tech companies and highlights the importance of antitrust regulation in regulating industry behavior. The partnership between Apple and Google has long been a classic example of mutual benefit. Google pays high fees to gain access to gold on Apple devices, and Apple uses it to inject a steady cash flow into its services revenue. But the model also exposes the risks of tech giants becoming overly reliant on a single partner. Once this partnership is forced to end, both Apple and Google will need to re-examine their business strategies.

Finally, political factors and future trends. The final outcome of the case could also be influenced by politics. The Trump administration filed an antitrust lawsuit against Google during its first term, and it will be interesting to see how the new administration handles the case. During the Trump administration, Apple CEO Tim Cook has maintained a good relationship with Trump, and this connection may affect the progress of the case to some extent. However, the Trump administration's past record of selective enforcement also sets the stage for future uncertainty.

In summary, Google's loss of antitrust conduct may bring tens of billions of dollars in economic losses to Apple, and it will also have an important impact on the technology industry landscape. With increased regulation, tech giants must focus more on compliance with their business models. The case of Apple and Google is a wake-up call for the industry: relying too much on a single partnership model can become a potential risk point. In the future, how Apple and Google adjust their strategies will have important implications for the direction of the development of the industry, and it is also worth the continuous attention of observers around the world.

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