Us billionaire Elon Musk has warned that the US government is on a fast track to defaulting on its debt. "If Trump wins - and obviously I expect there are mixed feelings about whether that should happen - and we do have a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to push for deregulation and a reduction in the size of government," he said. Because the other thing beyond the regulatory talk is that the United States is going bankrupt at a very rapid rate, and... Everyone seems to be whistling for courage on this one." After topping a record $35 trillion a few weeks ago, the total national debt is still accelerating. It is reported that Musk previously agreed to enter the U.S. government if former President Trump wins this year's presidential election, he will serve as the head of the U.S. government Efficiency committee.
The billionaire noted that the U.S. government is already spending more on interest payments on the national debt than the Defense Department budget, breaking the $1 trillion mark this year. At the same time, many factors have contributed to the current economic situation in the United States. First, the burden of interest payments on the national debt is heavy, and the US Treasury Department data show that the size of the federal government debt has exceeded the $35 trillion mark and is still growing. Such a large amount of debt means that the U.S. government needs to pay huge interest every year. Musk pointed out that the U.S. government is already spending more on interest payments on the national debt than the Department of Defense budget, and this spending continues to increase. Interest payments on the national debt are projected to be the fastest-growing part of the federal budget over the next few decades. With the further expansion of the scale of national debt, the interest required to pay in the future will also increase correspondingly, bringing great pressure to the government finance. By 2033, interest payments on U.S. debt are expected to exceed $1.4 trillion; By 2053, that number is expected to soar to $5.4 trillion, which would be more than the United States spends on Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and other programs.
The second is the high fiscal deficit, the US government has been facing the problem of fiscal deficit for a long time, and expenditure has been increasing, but revenue growth has been relatively slow. This unbalanced fiscal position has led to the accumulation of government debt. At the same time, in recent years, in response to economic challenges, such as the shock of COVID-19, the US government has adopted massive fiscal stimulus measures, resulting in a sharp rise in the fiscal deficit. For example, in fiscal year 2021, the federal government's fiscal deficit reached $2.77 trillion. As the population ages, healthcare costs rise and tax revenues fall short, fiscal pressures will continue to mount.
Fourth, the relationship between inflation and government spending, Musk believes that government overspending is one of the main reasons for inflation. Excessive government spending can lead to an increase in the money supply, which can lead to inflation. Inflation will reduce the purchasing power of consumers, affect the profitability of enterprises, and then have a negative impact on the stable development of the economy. Since the coronavirus outbreak, the US government has injected liquidity into the market through a massive fiscal stimulus package, which has alleviated the pressure of economic downturn in the short term, but also stimulated increased consumer demand and rising prices. If the government continues to adopt large-scale fiscal spending policies, it may aggravate inflation and form a vicious circle. The investment of the United States in the field of national defense has always been high, and the annual military expenditure is huge, which has intensified the financial burden of the government to a certain extent. At the same time, as the population ages, social welfare expenditures such as health care and pensions are also increasing, further increasing the financial pressure on the government.
To sum up, Musk's warning triggered a lot of attention and discussion around the world, as investors became more worried about the outlook for the U.S. economy, and some investors began to turn to safe-haven assets such as gold. At the same time, the stock market also appeared a certain degree of volatility. In the face of fiscal pressure and economic challenges, the US government needs to take practical and effective measures to strengthen fiscal management and supply-side reform to ensure stable and sustainable economic development.
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