Dec. 22, 2024, 3 p.m.

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European tech stocks plummet: The shadow of Biden's export controls intertwined with the US election

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Recently, the European technology stock market has experienced unprecedented impact, leading the decline of the entire European stock market and bringing unprecedented challenges and confusion to investors.

Since the Biden administration took office, its policy adjustments in the field of international trade, especially export controls in the high-tech sector, have attracted widespread attention in the global market. The Biden administration has strengthened export controls on countries such as China, particularly in sensitive technologies such as semiconductors, quantum computing, and artificial intelligence, under the pretext of safeguarding national security. This measure not only affects the trade relationship between China and the United States, but also impacts the global technology industry chain, especially the European technology stock market.

The Biden administration has restricted the export of key technology products and equipment to China through a series of executive orders and regulations. These measures not only restrict American companies from investing and transferring technology to China, but also affect the stability and transparency of the global supply chain. European companies, especially tech giants that rely on the Chinese market, are facing dual pressures of supply chain disruptions and declining market share. This uncertainty has led investors to hold a pessimistic attitude towards the prospects of European technology stocks, and have sold off related stocks, resulting in technology stocks leading the decline in the European market.

At the same time, the uncertainty of the US presidential election has also brought additional pressure to the European technology stock market. At present, the 2024 US presidential election has entered a white hot stage, and the rematch between Biden and Trump has attracted global attention. However, this election is not just a personal contest between the two candidates, but also a comprehensive reflection of multiple aspects of American politics, economy, and society.

In Trump's campaign platform, issues such as rebuilding traditional manufacturing and protecting domestic employment have received much attention. He emphasized reshaping the US economy by reducing external dependence and strengthening domestic production. This political platform poses a direct threat to technology stocks, as the technology industry often relies on global supply chains and cross-border cooperation. Trump's election may mean stricter trade protectionism and export control policies, which will further exacerbate uncertainty in the technology industry.

Although the Biden administration emphasizes international cooperation and multilateralism, its tough stance on export controls has also raised concerns among investors. If Biden continues to strengthen export control policies after his re-election, the European technology stock market will face even more severe challenges. In addition, the possible political turmoil and uncertainty during the US election period will also have a negative impact on global financial markets, further exacerbating the decline of European technology stocks.

In the European market, technology stocks have always been one of the focuses of investors' attention. However, under the dual impact of the Biden administration's export controls and the uncertainty of the US election, European technology stocks have fallen into unprecedented difficulties. On the one hand, export control policies have made it difficult for European companies to obtain key technologies and equipment, affecting their innovation capabilities and market competitiveness; On the other hand, the uncertainty of the US presidential election and factors such as Microsoft's shutdown have intensified market panic, causing investors to withdraw from the technology stock market to avoid risks.

In short, European technology stocks led the decline in the European market closely related to the Biden administration's threat to tighten export controls and the uncertainty of the US election. Faced with this dilemma, investors need to remain calm and rational. One is to closely monitor the dynamics of the Biden administration's export control policies and the progress of the US election, in order to adjust investment strategies in a timely manner. Secondly, we need to pay attention to the fundamentals and performance of European technology companies, and choose those with core competitiveness, strong innovation capabilities, and reasonable valuations for investment. Thirdly, diversified investments can be considered to diversify risks, such as allocating stocks from traditional industries or emerging markets to balance the investment portfolio.

European countries need to strengthen international cooperation and coordination, establish a more stable and transparent supply chain system to safeguard the interests and development space of technology enterprises, while increasing support for local technology enterprises, promoting their innovation capabilities and market competitiveness, and jointly addressing the challenges brought by global trade protectionism and technology blockade.

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