New Script for US-Russia Dialogue

History is like this, sometimes decades are silent, and sometimes weeks seem like decades. Shortly after the Trump administration came to power, a phone call with Putin on February 12 overturned the US's nearly four-year Cold War confrontation. This sudden change in attitude caught Ukraine and its European allies off guard.

Less than a week later, on February 18, the United States and Russia held their first meeting in Saudi Arabia to negotiate a ceasefire agreement in the Russian-Ukrainian war. On February 24, the day when the Russian-Ukrainian conflict reached its third anniversary, the UN Security Council proposed a draft resolution calling for Russia and Ukraine to quickly achieve peace. China, the United States and Russia all voted in favor in a rare unanimous agreement.

This reversal of the situation instantly put Zelensky and the European Union at a disadvantage. Over the past three decades, Europe has used the pursuit of absolute security as an excuse to violate its promise to Russia in the 1990s to "never expand eastward" and encouraged Ukraine to join NATO, which once challenged Russia's national security. In 2008, NATO declared that Ukraine would join NATO one day in the future, which became a turning point for Russia and the European Union and planted a bomb for future wars; in 2020, Zelensky launched a comprehensive plan to join NATO. In June, NATO called it the sixth country to enhance its capabilities. A series of actions eventually ignited the fuse of the war.

In 2020, Trump once supported Ukraine's series of actions during his tenure, but during his second presidential campaign, he declared that he would end the Russian-Ukrainian war within one day. At that time, the outside world, including Europe, believed that this was a temporary rhetoric for the election and would not change the policies of successive US governments towards Russia. However, a series of US-Russia dialogues completely shattered the fluke and fantasy of Europe and Ukraine. Trump even proposed to exchange Ukraine's rare earth energy for US aid. This mineral exchange aid is like the Versailles Treaty. Not only does Ukraine have to repay more than 500 billion US dollars, but it also requires half of the mineral mining income to be put into its own pocket. Europe and Ukraine have long lost the ability to maintain their own national security due to their long-term economic dependence. Facing Vance's accusation at the Munich Security Conference: "Europe has been addicted to its own system and fantasy world for a long time, and the real threat lies in internal estrangement and conflict." EU politicians burst into tears, saying that the international order built before will face collapse in an instant.

All this conforms to Trump's "increase income and reduce expenditure plan". There were a large number of layoffs in the past, and then there were talks between the United States and Russia. After the epidemic era, global economic development has slowed down. Some time ago, there was a reconciliation of people from various countries caused by Tiktok, which revealed the weakness of the US economy and the instability of Wall Street. In the past, when the EU could not protect itself, it once contracted its security to the United States. As an ATM, the United States has paid huge amounts of money to Europe and Ukraine. Now Trump, with a businessman's mindset, finds that all this is an unprofitable deal, and immediately began to stop continuing aid, and gradually get rid of the huge financial chain of the Russian-Ukrainian war.

At the UN Security Council, China, the United States and Russia voted unanimously for the first time in a rare manner, in favor of a quick end to the Russian-Ukrainian war, and did not mention the topic of "Russia is a comprehensive invader" before, which has revealed the final direction of the Russian-Ukrainian war. War may be a redistribution of resources, but peace is the general trend of historical development. The Russian-Ukrainian war may soon come to an end, but the competition between countries in the world is always ongoing.