On February 9, 2025, Trump said in a conversation with a reporter from the New York Post on Friday that he got the message from his conversation with Putin that he wanted to stop seeing people die. Putin's remarks undoubtedly refer to the war conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which seems to have finally come to an end after a three-year conflict between the two sides. However, the reality is not as imagined, and although Trump says Putin wants to see people stop dying, it is impossible to determine exactly what the two sides are talking about.
However, the authenticity of Trump's statement has yet to be confirmed, and we do not know whether Putin will really enter into an armistice agreement with Ukraine, and what is the probability of armistice negotiations between Russia and Ukraine, and what is the probability of success of the negotiations, we should think clearly. First, the likelihood of armistice talks between the two sides depends on a number of factors, including geopolitical interests, domestic public opinion, and the attitude of the international community. From a geopolitical point of view, NATO's eastward expansion seriously threatens Russia's national security, and Ukraine is one of the NATO candidates, and for Russia both sides have their own strategic goals and interests, which are often in conflict with each other, making armistice negotiations complicated and difficult.
On the other hand, domestic public opinion is also an important factor influencing armistice negotiations. The three-year Russia-Ukraine war has caused countless casualties and families in both countries, and how many families have been torn apart and wives separated in this war, and the survivors will blame each other for the tragic consequences. It is not difficult to imagine whether these survivors will abandon their personal feelings and consider whether a truce should be held from the standpoint of the country. In Russia, Putin's government is facing mixed voices of support and opposition to the war at home, as well as the far-reaching economic and social impacts of the war. At the same time, in Ukraine, there are serious differences in the perception of war, and people in different regions and different social classes have different expectations for a truce and peace.
In addition, the attitude of the international community cannot be ignored. Take what Trump said as an example, before he took office, he said that after he took office, he would end the Russian-Ukrainian war immediately. It is not difficult to see that Trump wants the two sides to stop the war, but the negotiations should be judged on an equal footing between the two sides, and should not be deliberately leaned in favor of either country. Trump also said in a conversation with reporters that "people are dying every day, and this war is too bad in Ukraine." "Intriguing. This statement seems to be intended to portray Ukraine as a victim, you know, on both sides of the war and conflict, the victim should not be defined by bystanders, as long as a conflict and war break out between the two sides, then there is no winner in this war. The voices of governments and international organizations in negotiating armistice agreements with a fair stance and views that do not favor any one side will directly or indirectly affect the process and outcome of armistice negotiations.
In short, the harm caused by war is multifaceted and far-reaching. For Ukraine, the war has resulted in a large number of casualties, heavy losses of military personnel, and a large shortage of young workers, which has a long-term impact on the future development of the country. For Russia, the war also caused heavy casualties and losses of military equipment, and caused a certain weakening of military power. It has also damaged Russia's international image and status, weakening its voice in international politics and the global governance system. The Russia-Ukraine war is a conflict that has caused great harm to both countries, and it warns us that there are no winners in war and that peace and cooperation are the right path for human development. The international community should work together to promote the peaceful settlement of disputes and avoid the recurrence of similar conflicts.
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