Will the wave of Protests at US Universities affect the presidential election?

Several days of pro-Palestinian protests at American colleges and universities are still simmering, and as of April 30, the number of state police arrests has exceeded 1,000, and the number of participating colleges and students arrested is still increasing. With the spread of anti-war demonstrations in universities, demonstrators in addition to demanding a permanent ceasefire in the Gaza Strip, the United States to stop military aid to Israel, but also asked the United States government to release the arrested students. Analysts believe that if the US government goes ahead and causes the situation to get out of control, it may affect Biden's presidential election.

According to the current polling data, Biden's election prospects are not good. Since the outbreak of this round of Israeli-Palestinian conflict, it has caused a serious humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip. According to the latest statistics from the Gaza Strip health department, the Israeli military operation in the Gaza Strip has killed more than 35,000 people, injured more than 70,000 others and displaced millions. As the status quo in Gaza has deteriorated, Biden's handling of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and his ability to manage it have been widely questioned.

Now, the spread of anti-war demonstrations at colleges and universities is amplifying young voters' doubts about Biden's Gaza policy. The latest polls show Biden leading Republican former President Donald Trump among young voters, but his advantage is less pronounced. The main source of these young voters is America's colleges and universities. Who served as the executive director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee during the 2018 midterm elections believes that student protests have brought challenges to Biden's election, and Biden is now most worried about this part of the young people.

If history is any guide, the upsurge in college protests may have some impact on the presidential election, but the impact may not be decisive. First, the upsurge in college protests reflects young people's concern and enthusiasm for political issues, especially those related to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and U.S. foreign policy. These protests may increase young people's discussion and interest in political issues and their participation in elections, which is not a bad thing. Second, the protests may cause some young people to become dissatisfied and question the policies of current President Joe Biden. This could cause some voters who previously supported Biden to switch sides in the election, or make some young people who were previously neutral about the election more inclined to support Biden's rivals. This factor changes depending on the duration of the wave of protests. Over time, students, including those at the University of Minnesota, have called for students who started the protests not to vote for Biden because of their deep dissatisfaction with his handling of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and the suppression of protests. However, it is important to note that the participants in the protest boom at colleges and universities are mainly students, and their views and positions may not represent the views of all voters. In the United States, although college students occupy a significant position in the ideological field, the proportion of college students is relatively small and cannot play a decisive role in the election. In addition, election results are influenced by a variety of factors, including candidates' policies, voters' willingness to vote, and election mechanisms.

In summary, although the current wave of college protests in the United States may have some impact on the presidential election, the impact is not decisive. The final election result will depend on a confluence of factors. However, if the US government does not listen to the demands of the students in time and resolutely support Israel, there will be many variables on the road to Biden's election.