Feb. 21, 2025, 1:26 p.m.

Finance

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Gold straight up, hit a new high!

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Spot gold broke through $2,946 / ounce intraday, another record high, COMEX gold rose more than 1%, continued to brush a record high to $2,965.3 / ounce. Since the beginning of this year, gold has become the top brand in the investment community, with a cumulative gain of more than 10% during the year. In fact, since the beginning of 2023, gold has achieved a good start for three consecutive years. As a precious metal, the value of gold is often closely related to the global economic situation, geopolitical risks, monetary policy and many other factors. When gold prices go straight up and hit new highs, it usually reflects a market reaction to some major event or a correction in future economic expectations.

The implications of gold's meteoric rise are complex and multifaceted, especially financial. The first is the impact on investors, the rise in gold makes the wealth of investors who hold gold increase, while investors who do not have gold may face a relative decline in wealth, thus exacerbating the gap between the rich and the poor. It could also trigger portfolio reallocation. Investors are likely to increase their demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and reduce their holdings of risky assets in response to market uncertainty. It could also boost investor confidence, triggering a change in market sentiment. More people are likely to enter the gold market in search of a safe haven and an opportunity to add value. However, investors may also turn to other markets if gold's volatility becomes too high.

The second is the macroeconomic impact, the rise in gold prices may be seen as a signal of inflation risk. Investors may move money into gold, increasing the money supply and possibly leading to inflation. The central bank may therefore strengthen monetary policy, such as raising interest rates, to control inflation. It could also lead to changes in the balance of international trade. The gold income of the exporting country will increase, while the purchasing power of the importing country will decrease. This could lead to trade conflicts and an increase in protectionist policies. Gold prices and the dollar are usually inversely correlated. A sharp rise in gold prices can lead to a fall in the value of the US dollar, which has implications for overseas investment, including foreign exchange trading.

The third is the impact on the financial market, the rising price of gold usually leads investors to increase the allocation of gold assets to avoid risks in other markets. This could trigger capital flows from traditional investment markets such as stocks and bonds to gold, changing the asset allocation landscape in financial markets. It could also increase overall volatility in financial markets. As the price of gold rises, the popularity of investment products such as gold ETFs and gold futures may increase. These products provide investors with more access to the gold market, while also potentially carrying higher risks and returns. Investors buying and selling in the gold market can have spillover effects on other markets, leading to increased price volatility in stocks, bonds and other markets. At the same time, the rise in the price of gold, as a quality asset against inflation, may exacerbate the market's inflation concerns. The central bank may therefore adjust monetary policy, such as raising interest rates or shrinking the balance sheet, to control inflation risks. The price of gold is usually denominated in dollars, so its rise can cause the dollar's exchange rate to fall. This could have some impact on the global economy, as the US dollar is one of the world's most important reserve currencies. The decline of the US dollar exchange rate may trigger changes in the global capital flow, which in turn will affect the stability and development of the economies of various countries.

In summary, a new high in gold prices will have a profound impact on multiple aspects of finance. Investors and policy makers need to pay close attention to the dynamics of the gold market and take appropriate measures to address the risks and challenges that may arise. At the same time, it is also necessary to strengthen financial supervision and risk prevention to ensure the stable and healthy development of financial markets.

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