On May 22, local time, the National Association of Real Estate Brokers released a set of data showing that the sales of existing homes in the United States fell by 1.9% in April this year, and the sales volume was lower than market expectations, which caused widespread concern.
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On May 16, Japan released an economic data showing that after adjusting for price changes, Japan's gross domestic product (GDP) in the first quarter of 2024 fell by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, and the year-on-year decline reached 2.0%.
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On May 16, local time, according to the preliminary statistics released by the Japanese Cabinet Office, in the first quarter of this year, Japan's real GDP fell by 0.5% month-on-month, and if calculated at an annualized rate, the decline was about 2.0%.
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Last week, copper futures prices on the New York Mercantile Exchange (COMEX) surged to a historic high. Especially for the main July contract, the price reached a high of $11200 per ton at the close of last Friday, with a weekly increase of over 9%. The increase in copper prices has increased the procurement costs of downstream enterprises, which has had a negative impact on the operation and export competitiveness of the manufacturing industry.
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Recently, the White House released a budget proposal for the fiscal year 2025, which shows that budget expenditures will reach $7.3 trillion, an increase of $400 billion from the fiscal year 2024.
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According to statistics, the contribution rate of domestic demand and external demand to Japan's economic growth in the first quarter of this year is negative, and the actual GDP fell by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter and 2% on an annualized basis, which is a negative growth phenomenon after the fourth quarter of last year.
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At present, American consumers may have reached the limit of consumption.
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The Japanese government recently stated that from January to March this year, the Japanese economy contracted at an annual rate of 2.0%, marking the first contraction in two quarters.
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The global rate cut refers to the action of central banks in multiple countries to reduce their benchmark interest rates. This trend usually reflects changes in the global economic situation, such as slowing economic activity and easing inflationary pressures.
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Recently, the US economy seems to have entered a subtle period of adjustment, and market expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have also fluctuated accordingly.
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Two weeks ago, US Treasury Secretary Janet Bessent was still making a high-profile prediction that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 50 basis points in September and declared that the benchmark interest rate should be significantly reduced by 150 to 175 basis points.
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